Bear’s Den on Clubhouse

Description

Discuss historic speculative mania imploding. Metals, hedges, laundry lists of longs for when sane pricing returns. Founded May 2021 & predicted:

“Bear beginning 2Q ‘21. It ends when ‘stonks’ & most cryptos collapse. TSLA < 300, ARKK < 30, GME < 20, AMC < 10, PTON < 5, DOGE < 5c… targets may prove generous”

Epic fraud, hubris & leverage to be washed away by bull market in margin calls. Enjoy & make most of it!

Twitter search “@psychprofits den” or “@psychprofits model portfolio”

Aug07/21 multiple mathematic cycles since 1929 point to major top 2021 or ‘22

“4th Turning” began 2020

Major gov’t anti-trust suits coincide consistently w/ tops. IBM late 1960’s, MSFT 2000, late 2020 GOOG & FB, 2021 at least 16 (so far) fed anti-trust suits vs AMZN, while per N.Y. Times “US To Take Big Swing @ Corporate Titans”

Oct11 SEC Chair To Wall St: “Prepare For ‘Everything’ Crackdown”

Spt7 Margin stats match peaks of ‘87, Y2K & ‘08

2 prev SPAC booms like ‘21 were just prior huge bear markets: 1700s & 1929

Oct11 14-day TRIN highest since Oct 2018; stocks began historic crash ‘til Christmas

Oct13 +TZA $29.39 to 15% portfolio. Raising stops on all remaining stocks not paying > 5% dividends or not gold, silver, uranium, energy, etc to 2% < 30-day low, trailing basis

Oct22 Buybacks contrary indicator. Since 2011 buybacks +340% while EPS only +180%. Huge red flag!

Nov19 “We hit motherlode. Across 40 yrs work in markets & over a century of historical data, I've never observed as many indications of market peak occurring simultaneously.” - Hussman

Nov25 +UVXY > $16.75 to 10% portfolio

Dec1 +SDOW at $30 & SQQQ when > $6.40 both to 5% portfolio

Dec10 all-time SPX high unconfirmed by all major internal market measurements & major indexes, setting several 100-yr records in size or dimension of non-confirmations at an all-time SPX high

Dec13 +SQQQ to 10% portfolio when $6.70, +SDOW to 10% portfolio when $29

Jan17/22: NYSI readings seen only once prior: 1929 top. Dow Theory non-confirmation in effect, seen every bull mkt top in history

Feb24 booking huge, fast gains by -SQQQ, SDOW & TZA to 5% of portfolio ea.

Mar8 @ open -UVXY to 5% of portfolio. Levered index shorts now 20% portfolio

Mar15 +LTRPA for long term @ 1.85

Apr7 +SMR @ 10.40 long term

Apr25 -SQQQ to 0% @ 46.00, +37% in 4.5 mo

Apr25 +MSOS @ 16.75 long term

May2 -TZA to 0% @ 41.89

May6 worst start of any year since 1939. 17 year-to-date lows in 1st 4 mos of year > any comparable period since ‘77